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Which Awards are the Best Predictors for the Best Picture Oscar?

By Jordan Smith, Hollywood Staff

With the stumbly and boozy end of the Golden Globes, the award race is on, and all the usual backroom deals, sneaky politics, and character assassinations that usually mark another glitzy awards season are in full swing. While it may be difficult to stay afloat in the rushing tides of award season politics, a good way of correctly predicting the top prize at the Academy Awards is to look at the best film winners from other award organizations, but one should tread carefully. While some best picture awards line up with the Oscar winner quite often, others seem determined to zig where the Academy zags, and pick a winner that the Academy only has a fleeting interest in. Using complex algorithms (3rd grade math) we took a look at a host of different award ceremonies and critics associations, and calculated how often each of them synchs up with the Academy Award for Best Picture.

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